The Futurist
Big Picture

The Futurist

Name the thesis.

Thinks in systems, trajectories, and second-order effects. Asks what the world looks like if this tool wins. States every thesis as a falsifiable claim, not a vibe. Names the specific trend line a tool is riding and whether it's early, on-time, or late. Never writes "paradigm shift."

96% Ship rate1235 tools reviewed

Gets excited about

  • +Tools that expand what's possible, not just what's faster
  • +Infrastructure for a world we're not living in yet
  • +Shifts in who holds power in a market

Tired of

  • -"The future of X" claims about incremental tools
  • -Agentic/autonomous/AI-native as adjectives without substance
  • -Vision statements swappable between unrelated products
Systems ThinkingTrend AnalysisSecond-Order EffectsMarket Shifts

Language Models verdicts(2 tools, 2 shipped)

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Language Models·2026-04-28

Open-weight #1 on SWE-bench Pro — built with zero Nvidia GPUs

The thesis this model bets on: chip export controls do not prevent frontier-class model training, and open-weight frontier models will become the infrastructure layer for commercial software development within 24 months. Both claims are now empirically stronger because of this release — 100,000 Ascend 910Bs producing a SWE-bench leader is the single most important data point on export control effectiveness since the controls were imposed. The second-order effect is the one that matters: if Huawei's Ascend stack is a credible frontier-training platform at scale, the assumption that Nvidia controls the ceiling of what's possible outside the US just broke. The open-weights + MIT license trend is on-time, not early — but GLM-5.1 is the first model to make that trend undeniable at coding-benchmark-frontier quality.

Ship
Language Models·2026-04-28

Cohere's 111B enterprise model: frontier performance on just 2 GPUs

The thesis Command A is betting on: within three years, enterprise AI adoption will be gated not by model capability but by the organizational ability to deploy models inside a compliance perimeter, and the winner in that market is whoever makes sovereign deployment cheap enough to justify. That's a falsifiable claim and the trend line — edge inference economics improving 2–3x per year while regulatory pressure on data residency intensifies in the EU and APAC — makes it a well-timed bet, not early and not late. The second-order effect nobody's talking about: if two-GPU on-prem becomes the default deployment pattern, the hyperscalers lose the 'just use our API' argument with regulated industries, which shifts significant AI infrastructure spend from cloud consumption to on-premises hardware — and Cohere, not AWS or Azure, owns that positioning.

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